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Toronto real estate defies reality
Toronto finds itself in a surprising situation: The economy stalled, but house prices didn't.
What happens if you had a recession and housing prices didn't really go down? That's the scenario Toronto could be in by the end of 2009, as economists scramble to revise this year's real estate market forecasts.
Toronto housing economist Will Dunning is forecasting that the average price of an existing home in the Greater Toronto Area will be $378,700 by the end of this year. His previous forecast was for prices to decline to $358,100, or about 5.6 per cent from 2008. That's in line with the estimates of about a 5 per cent decline from most major housing analysts.
"The forecast has been raised substantially," Dunning says. "For the past three months, resale activity has been much stronger than I had been anticipating."
A $378,700 price is spitting distance of the $379,347 average price recorded at the end of 2008. Dunning says this year's average price could surpass last year's.
See article by Tony Wong in the Toronto Star »
August 26, 2009 in Toronto Real Estate Forecast | Permalink
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